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Fiscal implications of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet normalization

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Bibliographic Details
Authors and Corporations: Cavallo, Michele (Author), Del Negro, Marco (Author), Frame, W. Scott (Author), Grasing, Jamie (Author), Malin, Benjamin A. (Author), Rosa, Carlo (Author)
Other Authors: Del Negro, Marco [Author] • Frame, W. Scott 1968- [Author] • Grasing, Jamie [Author] • Malin, Benjamin A. [Author] • Rosa, Carlo [Author]
Type of Resource: E-Book
Language: English
published:
Series: Federal Reserve Bank of New York: Staff reports ; no. 833 (January 2018)
Subjects:
Source: Verbunddaten SWB
Lizenzfreie Online-Ressourcen
Description
Summary: The paper surveys the recent literature on the fiscal implications of central bank balance sheets, with a special focus on political economy issues. It then presents the results of simulations that describe the effects of different scenarios for the Federal Reserve's longer-run balance sheet on its earnings remittances to the U.S. Treasury and, more broadly, on the government's overall fiscal position. We find that reducing longer-run reserve balances from $2.3 trillion (roughly the current amount) to $1 trillion reduces the likelihood of posting a quarterly net loss in the future from 30 percent to under 5 percent. Further reducing longer-run reserve balances from $1 trillion to pre-crisis levels has little effect on the likelihood of net losses.
Physical Description: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten); Illustrationen