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Herd behavior in FDA committees: a structural approach

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Authors and Corporations: Newham, Melissa (Author), Midjord, Rune (Author)
Other Authors: Midjord, Rune [Author]
Type of Resource: E-Book
Language: English
published:
Berlin DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research 2018
Series: Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung: Discussion papers ; 1744
Source: Verbunddaten SWB
Lizenzfreie Online-Ressourcen
Description
Summary: Many important decisions within public and private organizations are based on recommendations from expert committees and advisory boards. A notable example is the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's advisory committees, which make recommendations on new drug applications. Previously the voting procedure for these committees was sequential, however, due to concerns of herding and momentum effects the procedure was changed to simultaneous voting. Exploiting a novel dataset of more than ten thousand votes cast by experts in the FDA committees under both sequential and simultaneous voting, we estimate a structural model that allows us to measure the magnitude and importance of informational herding. We show that experts, voting on important scientific questions, are susceptible to herd behavior; on average 46% of the members take into consideration the sequence of previous votes when casting their vote, 17% of these voters actually herd i.e. change their vote from what they would have voted if ignoring the preceding votes.
Physical Description: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten); Illustrationen